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Proof Homes Are Still Affordable

Date: December 10, 2017 Posted by Joey Remondino Category:

Home Magnified

Home prices in Northern VA continue to climb making many concerned if there is a bubble in the Northern VA real estate market. A primary indicator of a bubble is weather the average household income can afford the average home in NOVA. With this said, here is proof homes are still affordable.

There is a lot of discussion about the current state of housing affordability for both first-time and move-up buyers, and much of the narrative is tarnished with a negative slant. However, the truth is that housing affordability is better today than at almost any time in our history.

The naysayers are correct in the fact that affordability today is not as good as it has been over the last several years. But, we must remember that home prices collapsed during the housing crash, and distressed properties (foreclosures and short sales) kept home values depressed for years. When we compare affordability to the decades that proceeded the crash, a different story is revealed.

Here is a graph of the National Association of Realtors’ Housing Affordability Index. The higher the graph, the more affordable homes are.

We can see that affordability is better today than in the fifteen years prior to the boom and bust.

CoreLogic just published a report showing the National Homebuyers’ “Typical Mortgage Payment.”Here is a graph of their findings:

Housing Affordability Index

It reveals that, though a ‘typical’ housing payment was less expensive in 2012 (remember distressed properties), it is currently less expensive than it was in 2000 and is still projected to be lower next year than it was in 2000.

Bottom Line

Mark Fleming, Chief Economist at First American, explained it best:

“While borrowing power for the potential home buyer has fallen relative to the low point of 2012, it remains high today and will remain high next year, relative to the long run average. If you don’t want to rent anymore and are considering becoming a homeowner, even if mortgage rates rise next year, your borrowing power will remain strong by historic standards.”

If you are considering buying a home in Northern VA in the next 12 months give me a call! I work with sellers and buyers, selling starter homes, trade up homes, premium homes, Green Homes and luxury real estate in Northern VA. Including Vienna, Alexandria, Arlington, Ashburn , Dunn Loring, City of Fairfax, Falls Church, Great Falls, McLean, Oakton, Reston, and Tysons Corner.